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Author |
Ahmed Abdeltawab Abdelgawad |
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Title |
Reliability of expert estimates of cascading failures in Critical Infrastructure |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response And Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Iscram 2019 |
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Keywords |
Expert assessment; Desktop exercise; Tabletop exercise; Modeling and simulation; Dynamic complexity |
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Abstract |
Owing to the complexity of Critical Infrastructures and the richness of issues to analyze, numerous approaches are used to model the behavior of CIs. Organizations having homeland security as mission often conduct desktop-based simulations using judgmental assessment of CI interdependencies and cascading failures. Expert estimates concern direct effects between the originally disrupted CI sector and other sectors. To better understand the magnitude of aggregate cascading effects, we developed a system dynamics model that uses expert estimates of cascading failures to compare the aggregate effect of cascading failures with the primary direct cascading failures. We find that the aggregate effect of compounded cascading failures becomes significantly greater than the primary cascading failures the longer the duration of the original disruption becomes. Our conceptually simple system dynamics model could be used to improve desktop-based exercises, since it illustrates consequences that go beyond judgmental assessment. |
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Address |
Centre for Integrated Emergency Management (CIEM), University of Agder, Norway |
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Publisher |
Iscram |
Place of Publication |
Valencia, Spain |
Editor |
Franco, Z.; González, J.J.; Canós, J.H. |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
978-84-09-10498-7 |
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Track |
T1- Analytical Modeling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
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Notes |
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Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
1703 |
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Author |
Ahmed Abdeltawab Abdelgawad; Tina Comes |
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Title |
Evaluation Framework for the iTRACK Integrated System |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response And Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Iscram 2019 |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
Evaluation Framework, Software Testing, Software Usability, Software Usefulness, Humanitarian Disaster |
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Abstract |
Evaluation and testing are major steps in the development of any information system, particularly if it is to be used in high-risk contexts such as conflicts. While thus far there are various approaches for testing against technology requirements; usability or usefulness, there is a lack of a comprehensive evaluation framework that combines the three elements. The lack of such a framework and commonly agreed standards constitutes a barrier for innovation, and at the same time imposes risks to responders if the technology is introduced without proper testing. This paper aims to close this gap. Based on a reviewing of evaluation methods and measurement metrics, we design a comprehensive evaluation framework including common code quality testing metrics, usability testing methods, subjective usefulness questionnaires, and performance indicators. We demonstrate our approach by using the example of an integrated system for the safety and security of humanitarian missions, and we highlight how our approach allows measuring the system?s quality and usefulness. |
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Address |
Centre for Integrated Emergency Management (CIEM), University of Agder, Norway |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Iscram |
Place of Publication |
Valencia, Spain |
Editor |
Franco, Z.; González, J.J.; Canós, J.H. |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
978-84-09-10498-7 |
Medium |
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Track |
T12- Tool Talks |
Expedition |
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Conference |
16th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2019) |
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Notes |
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Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
1869 |
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