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Author
Alexander Garcia-Aristizabal
;
Maria Polese
;
Giulio Zuccaro
;
Miguel Almeida
;
Christoph Aubrecht
Title
Improving emergency preparedness with simulation of cascading events scenarios
Type
Conference Article
Year
2015
Publication
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Abbreviated Journal
ISCRAM 2015
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Cascading effects
;
event tree
;
forest fire
;
impact scenarios
;
time-dependent vulnerability
Abstract
Natural or man-made disasters can trigger other negative events leading to tremendous increase of fatalities and damages. In case of Low Probability ? High consequences events, decision makers are faced with very difficult choices and the availability of a tool to support emergency decisions would be very much beneficial. Within EU CRISMA project a concept model and tool for evaluating cascading effects into scenario-based analyses was implemented.This paper describes the main concepts of the model and demonstrates its application with reference to two earthquake-triggered CE scenarios, including (the first) the falling of an electric cable, ignition and spreading of forest fire and (the second) the happening of a second earthquake in a sequence. Time dependent seismic vulnerability of buildings and population exposure are also considered for updating impact estimation during an earthquake crisis.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
University of Agder (UiA)
Place of Publication
Kristiansand, Norway
Editor
L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes
Language
English
Summary Language
English
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
2411-3387
ISBN
9788271177881
Medium
Track
Planning, Foresight and Risk Analysis
Expedition
Conference
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Notes
Approved
yes
Call Number
Serial
1308
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