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Author Carolyn Huston; Jennifer Davis; Petra Kuhnert; Andrew Bolt
Title Creating Trusted Extensions to Existing Software Tools in Bushfire Consequence Estimation Type Conference Article
Year (down) 2023 Publication Proceedings of the ISCRAM Asia Pacific Conference 2022 Abbreviated Journal Proc. ISCRAM AP 2022
Volume Issue Pages 25-34
Keywords Wildfires; Trustworthiness; Optimal Decisions; Affordance Analysis; Emulation
Abstract Bushfire modelling has advanced with wildfire simulators such as Spark and Phoenix Rapidfire that can generate plausible fire dynamics and simulations that decision-makers can easily explore. With extreme weather impacting the Australian landscapes through the onset of droughts and heatwaves, it is becoming more important to make decisions rapidly from fire simulations. An element of this decision-making process is trust, in which the decision-maker feels empowered to make decisions from models of complex systems like fire. We propose a framework for decision-making that makes use of a fire emulator, a surrogate version of Spark, to facilitate faster exploration of wildfire predictions and their uncertainties under a changing climate. We discuss the advantages and next steps of an emulator model using the mechanisms and conditions framework, a powerful vocabulary and design framework that builds in trust to allow users of a technology to understand and accept the features of a system.
Address CSIRO Data61; Australia National University; CSIRO Data61; CSIRO Data61
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Massey Unversity Place of Publication Palmerston North, New Zealand Editor Thomas J. Huggins, V.L.
Language English Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 2411-3387 ISBN 978-0-473-66845-7 Medium
Track Analytical Modelling and Simulation Expedition Conference
Notes Approved no
Call Number ISCRAM @ idladmin @ Serial 2477
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