| Records |
Author  |
Miguel Ramirez de la Huerga; Victor A. Bañuls; Murray Turoff |
| Title |
A Scenario-based approach for analyzing complex cascading effects in Operational Risk Management |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2015 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2015 |
| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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| Keywords |
Cross Impact Analysis; Emergency Management; Industrial Safety and Security Management; Interpretative Structural Modeling; Operational Risk Management |
| Abstract |
This is the first paper to apply Cross Impact Analysis (CIA) and Interpretative Structural Modeling (ISM) methods for analyzing complex cascading effects in Operational Risk Management in an industrial environment. Its main objective is to improve the understanding of the overall picture of an organization?s risks. The paper summarizes the development of a CIA-ISM method of the interaction of 18 critical events of an industrial plant as a first step to improving organizational resilience based on the company?s own estimations as well as the estimates of a panel. The main benefit of using these methods is to know the relationships between different risks and consequences, direct links, indirect and cascading effects. Having the possibility of knowing a full risk map and being able to make a forecast will help to mitigate the unexpected effects and have a better response after an emergency situations is the same as being more resilient. |
| Address |
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Thesis |
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| Publisher |
University of Agder (UiA) |
Place of Publication |
Kristiansand, Norway |
Editor |
L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
| Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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| Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9788271177881 |
Medium |
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| Track |
Decision Support Systems |
Expedition |
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Conference |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
| Notes |
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Approved |
yes |
| Call Number |
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Serial |
1280 |
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| Author |
Miguel Ramirez de la Huerga; Victor A. Bañuls; Pilar Ortiz Calderon; Rocio Ortiz Calderon |
| Title |
A Delphi-Based Approach for Analysing the Resilience Level of Local Goverments in a Regional Context |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2020 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2020 Conference Proceedings – 17th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Iscram 2020 |
| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
602-611 |
| Keywords |
Delphi Analysis; Resilience; Regional Context |
| Abstract |
This article shows the research process carried out by Regional Government of southern Europe, with more than 8 million citizens, to create an Information System to serve as a diagnostic and certification model for the resilience level of the municipalities of that region. This Information System will allow the local authorities of the regional governments to know in what situation they are and what they should do to improve their resilience level. The research framework is based on the best practices in urban resilience. One of the relevant characteristics of the work is the integration of the knowledge of a very heterogeneous group of experts for the identification of the special needs of the target region that has been articulated through a Delphi process. |
| Address |
MSIG Smart Management; Universidad Pablo de Olavide; Universidad Pablo de Olavide; Universidad Pablo de Olavide |
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Thesis |
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| Publisher |
Virginia Tech |
Place of Publication |
Blacksburg, VA (USA) |
Editor |
Amanda Hughes; Fiona McNeill; Christopher W. Zobel |
| Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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| Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
978-1-949373-27-56 |
ISBN |
2411-3442 |
Medium |
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| Track |
Planning, Foresight and Risk Analysis |
Expedition |
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Conference |
17th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
| Notes |
miguelramirezdelahuerga@gmail.com |
Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
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Serial |
2257 |
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| Author |
Murray Turoff; Victor A. Bañuls; Linda Plotnick; Starr Roxanne Hiltz; Miguel Ramirez de la Huerga |
| Title |
Collaborative Evolution of a Dynamic Scenario Model for the Interaction of Critical Infrastructures |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2015 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2015 |
| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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| Keywords |
Collaborative Modeling; Critical Infrastructure; Cross Impact Analysis; Delphi Method; Emergency Management; Scenario Planning and Training |
| Abstract |
This paper reviews current work on a model of the cascading effects of Critical Infrastructure (CI) failures during disasters. Based upon the contributions of 26 professionals, we have created a reliable model for the interaction among sixteen CIs. An internal CI model can be used as a core part of a number of larger models, each of which are tailored to a specific disaster in a specific location. |
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| Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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| Publisher |
University of Agder (UiA) |
Place of Publication |
Kristiansand, Norway |
Editor |
L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
| Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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| Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9788271177881 |
Medium |
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| Track |
Analytical Modelling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
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Serial |
1190 |
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| Author |
Murray Turoff; Victor A. Bañuls; Miguel Ramirez de la Huerga |
| Title |
Hurricanes Send Signals for the Future of Emergency Preparedness |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2018 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2018 Conference Proceedings – 15th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Iscram 2018 |
| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
797-805 |
| Keywords |
Hurricanes, Puerto Rico, Climate Change, Emeregency Preparadness |
| Abstract |
Trends over the past decades when coupled with recent disaster events call into serious question whether our typical reactions to natural disasters will be sufficient for what we can expect in the future. This paper summarizes current events and scientific understanding of our planet to provide insights of the authors into what should be the basis for future policies and plans. |
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Thesis |
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| Publisher |
Rochester Institute of Technology |
Place of Publication |
Rochester, NY (USA) |
Editor |
Kees Boersma; Brian Tomaszeski |
| Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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| Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
978-0-692-12760-5 |
Medium |
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| Track |
Case studies and reflections from practice |
Expedition |
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Conference |
ISCRAM 2018 Conference Proceedings - 15th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
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Serial |
2152 |
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| Author |
Victor A. Bañuls; Cristina López-Vargas; Fernando Tejedor; Murray Turoff; Miguel Ramirez de la Huerga |
| Title |
Validating Cross-Impact Analysis in Project Risk Management |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2016 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2016 Conference Proceedings ? 13th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2016 |
| Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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| Keywords |
Scenarios; Cross-Impact Analysis (CIA); Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM); Risk Events; Project Management |
| Abstract |
Companies work increasingly more on projects as a means of executing organizational decisions. However, too many enterprise projects result in failure. Hence, firms should follow a risk management method that drives their projects toward success. Nevertheless, project managers often deal with risks intuitively. This is partly because they lack the proper means to correctly manage the underlying risks which affect the entire cycle of their projects. Therefore, one purpose is to identify the critical events that managers may encounter before the beginning of the project and during its development. In addition, we propose CIA-ISM to represent existing relationships between the unforeseen events in the project?s lifetime and their key performance indicators. This also predicts the influence of risks on project performance over time by means of scenarios. The tool proposed would thus help practitioners to manage enterprise projects risks in a more effective and proactive way. We have validated the predictive capability of the CIA-ISM model with 22 real projects. The results show a high level of predictive capability in terms of risk analysis and key performance indicators. |
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Thesis |
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| Publisher |
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro |
Place of Publication |
Rio de Janeiro, Brasil |
Editor |
A. Tapia; P. Antunes; V.A. Bañuls; K. Moore; J. Porto |
| Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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| Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
978-84-608-7984-8 |
Medium |
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| Track |
Analytical Modeling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
13th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
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Serial |
1338 |
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