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Author
Murray Turoff
;
Victor A. Bañuls
Title
Major extensions to Cross-Impact Analysis
Type
Conference Article
Year
2011
Publication
8th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management: From Early-Warning Systems to Preparedness and Training, ISCRAM 2011
Abbreviated Journal
ISCRAM 2011
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Hardware
;
Cross-impact analysis
;
Emergency planning
;
Emergency preparedness
;
Interpretive structural modeling
;
Scenarios
;
Information systems
Abstract
In recent years Cross-Impact Analysis (CIA) has resurged as a powerful tool for forecasting the occurrence or not of a set of interrelated events in complex situations, such as emergencies. In this sense, CIA can be used for creating working models out of significant events and crisis scenarios. CIA has been combined with other methodological approaches in order to increase its functionality and improve its final outcome. This is the case of the merger of CIA and the technique called Interpretive Structural Modeling (ISM). The CIA-ISM approach aims at contributing to CIA with tools for detecting critical events and supporting graphical representation of scenarios. In this paper, major extensions to CIA-ISM are presented. These extensions are based on the inclusion of initial condition events and outcome events as two new event types that make CIA-ISM much richer in its potential span of application areas. The practical implications of these major extensions to CIA-ISM are illustrated with an example. The usefulness of this contribution to researchers and practitioners concerned with emergency planning and preparedness is also discussed.
Address
New Jersey Institute of Technology, United States; Universidad Pablo Olavide, Spain
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM
Place of Publication
Lisbon
Editor
M.A. Santos, L. Sousa, E. Portela
Language
English
Summary Language
English
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
2411-3387
ISBN
9789724922478
Medium
Track
Planning and Foresight
Expedition
Conference
8th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Notes
Approved
no
Call Number
Serial
1026
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