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Author (up) Guoqin Ma; Chittayong Surakitbanharn pdf  isbn
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  Title Predicting Hurricane Damage Using Social Media Posts Coupled with Physical and Socio-Economic Variables Type Conference Article
  Year 2019 Publication Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response And Management Abbreviated Journal Iscram 2019  
  Volume Issue Pages  
  Keywords Social media, disaster management, damage prediction  
  Abstract During a natural disaster or emergency event, individual social media posts or hot spots may not necessarily correlate

to the most devastated areas. To better understand the correlation between social media and physical damage, we

compare Tweets, data about the physical environment, and socio-economic factors with insurance claim information

(as a proxy for physical damage) from 2017 Hurricane Irma in the state of Florida. We use machine learning

to identify relevant Tweets, sensitivity analyses to identify socio-economic factors, and statistical regression to

determine the predictive capability of insurance claims as a proxy for damage. We find that Tweets alone result in a

poorly fitted regression model of insurance claims, but the inclusion of physical features (e.g., power outages, wind

level) and socio-economic factors (e.g., population density, education, Internet access) improves the modelís fit.

Such models contribute to the knowledge base that may allow social media to predict damage in real-time.
 
  Address Stanford University, United States of America  
  Corporate Author Thesis  
  Publisher Iscram Place of Publication Valencia, Spain Editor Franco, Z.; González, J.J.; Canós, J.H.  
  Language English Summary Language English Original Title  
  Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title  
  Series Volume Series Issue Edition  
  ISSN 2411-3387 ISBN 978-84-09-10498-7 Medium  
  Track T8- Social Media in Crises and Conflicts Expedition Conference 16th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2019)  
  Notes Approved no  
  Call Number Serial 1955  
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