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Record |
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Author |
Maël Arnaud; Carole Adam; Julie Dugdale |
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Title |
The role of cognitive biases in reactions to bushfires |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2017 |
Publication |
Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response And Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Iscram 2017 |
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Pages |
85-96 |
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Keywords |
Multi-agent modelling; social simulation; cognitive biases; BDI paradigm; Victoria bushfires |
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Abstract |
Human behaviour is influenced by many psychological factors such as emotions, whose role is already widely recognised. Another important factor, and all the more so during disasters where time pressure and stress constrain reasoning, are cognitive biases. In this paper, we present a short overview of the literature on cognitive biases and show how some of these biases are relevant in a particular disaster, the 2009 bushfires in the South-East of Australia. We provide a preliminary formalisation of these cognitive biases in BDI (beliefs, desires, intentions) agents, with the goal of integrating such agents into agent-based models to get more realistic behaviour. We argue that taking such “irrational” behaviours into account in simulation is crucial in order to produce valid results that can be used by emergency managers to better understand the behaviour of the population in future bushfires. |
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Address |
Univ. Grenoble Alpes, LIG, F-38000 |
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Publisher |
Iscram |
Place of Publication |
Albi, France |
Editor |
Tina Comes, F.B., Chihab Hanachi, Matthieu Lauras, Aurélie Montarnal, eds |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Volume |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
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Track |
Analytical Modeling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
14th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response And Management |
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Notes |
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Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
2002 |
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