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Author
Carolyn Huston
;
Jennifer Davis
;
Petra Kuhnert
;
Andrew Bolt
Title
Creating Trusted Extensions to Existing Software Tools in Bushfire Consequence Estimation
Type
Conference Article
Year
2023
Publication
Proceedings of the ISCRAM Asia Pacific Conference 2022
Abbreviated Journal
Proc. ISCRAM AP 2022
Volume
Issue
Pages
25-34
Keywords
Wildfires
;
Trustworthiness
;
Optimal Decisions
;
Affordance Analysis
;
Emulation
Abstract
Bushfire modelling has advanced with wildfire simulators such as Spark and Phoenix Rapidfire that can generate plausible fire dynamics and simulations that decision-makers can easily explore. With extreme weather impacting the Australian landscapes through the onset of droughts and heatwaves, it is becoming more important to make decisions rapidly from fire simulations. An element of this decision-making process is trust, in which the decision-maker feels empowered to make decisions from models of complex systems like fire. We propose a framework for decision-making that makes use of a fire emulator, a surrogate version of Spark, to facilitate faster exploration of wildfire predictions and their uncertainties under a changing climate. We discuss the advantages and next steps of an emulator model using the mechanisms and conditions framework, a powerful vocabulary and design framework that builds in trust to allow users of a technology to understand and accept the features of a system.
Address
CSIRO Data61; Australia National University; CSIRO Data61; CSIRO Data61
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Massey Unversity
Place of Publication
Palmerston North, New Zealand
Editor
Thomas J. Huggins, V.L.
Language
English
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
2411-3387
ISBN
978-0-473-66845-7
Medium
Track
Analytical Modelling and Simulation
Expedition
Conference
Notes
Approved
no
Call Number
ISCRAM @ idladmin @
Serial
2477
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