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Author
Tina Comes
;
Michael Hiete
;
Niek Wijngaards
;
Masja Kempen
Title
Integrating scenario-based reasoning into multi-criteria decision analysis
Type
Conference Article
Year
2009
Publication
ISCRAM 2009 – 6th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management: Boundary Spanning Initiatives and New Perspectives
Abbreviated Journal
ISCRAM 2009
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Decision support systems
;
Information systems
;
Chemical incidents
;
Crisis management
;
Decision supports
;
Environmental crisis
;
Multi-criteria decision analysis
;
Real-world scenario
;
Scenario-based
;
Uncertainties
;
Environmental management
Abstract
Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) is a technique for decision support which aims at providing transparent and coherent support for complex decision situations taking into account subjective preferences of the decision makers. However, MCDA does not foresee an analysis of multiple plausible future developments of a given situation. In contrast, scenario-based reasoning (SBR) is frequently used to assess future developments on the longer term. The ability to discuss multiple plausible future developments provides a rationale for strategic plans and actions. Nevertheless, SBR lacks an in-depth performance evaluation of the considered actions. This paper explores the integration of both techniques that combines their respective strengths as well as their application in environmental crisis management. The proposed methodology is illustrated by an environmental incident example. Future work is to conduct validations on the basis of real-world scenarios by public Dutch and Danish chemical incident crisis management authorities.
Address
Institute for Industrial Production, Universität Karlsruhe (TH), Germany; Thales Research and Technology, D-CIS Lab, Netherlands
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM
Place of Publication
Gothenburg
Editor
J. Landgren, S. Jul
Language
English
Summary Language
English
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
2411-3387
ISBN
9789163347153
Medium
Track
Open Track
Expedition
Conference
6th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Notes
Approved
no
Call Number
Serial
407
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