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Author  |
Thomas Münzberg; Marcus Wiens; Frank Schultmann |
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Title |
A strategy evaluation framework based on dynamic vulnerability assessments |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2014 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2014 Conference Proceedings – 11th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2014 |
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Volume |
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Pages |
45-54 |
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Keywords |
Climate change; Decision support systems; Flood control; Information systems; Linear programming; Multiobjective optimization; Risk perception; Decision supports; Evaluation framework; Flood management; Goal programming; Management strategies; Strategy evaluations; Test strategies; Vulnerability assessments; Risk assessment |
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Abstract |
Assessing a system's vulnerability is a widely used method to estimate the effects of risks. In the past years, increasingly dynamic vulnerability assessments were developed to display changes in vulnerability over time (e.g. in climate change, coastal vulnerability, and flood management). This implies that the dynamic influences of management strategies on vulnerability need to be considered in the selection and implementation of strategies. For this purpose, we present a strategy evaluation framework which is based on dynamic vulnerability assessments. The key contribution reported in this paper is an evaluation framework that considers how well strategies achieve a predefined target level of protection over time. Protection Target Levels are predefined objectives. The framework proposed is inspired by Goal Programming methods and allows distinguishing the relevance of time-dependent achievements by weights. This enables decision-makers to evaluate the overall performance of strategies, to test strategies, and to compare the outcome of strategies. |
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Address |
Institute for Nuclear and Energy Technologies, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Germany; Institute for Industrial Production, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Germany |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
The Pennsylvania State University |
Place of Publication |
University Park, PA |
Editor |
S.R. Hiltz, M.S. Pfaff, L. Plotnick, and P.C. Shih. |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Volume |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9780692211946 |
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Track |
Analytic Modeling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
11th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
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Notes |
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Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
798 |
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