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Author
José Miguel Castillo
;
Starr Roxanne Hiltz
;
Murray Turoff
Title
Monte Carlo and decision making support in crisis management
Type
Conference Article
Year
2012
Publication
ISCRAM 2012 Conference Proceedings – 9th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Abbreviated Journal
ISCRAM 2012
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Decision making
;
Information systems
;
Monte Carlo methods
;
Crisis management
;
Cross-national
;
Decision making support
;
Large scale disasters
;
Scenario-based simulations
;
Simulation
;
Simulation process
;
Simulation systems
;
Computer simulation
Abstract
Simulation is an interdisciplinary science applicable to many branches of knowledge. One field in which simulation is relevant is decision making support (DMS), in which we use computers to run models of real or possible scenarios in order to evaluate alternative actions before carrying them out. We will obtain a useful simulation system only when the model (engine of the simulation process) has been made accurately to represent reality. Thus it is necessary to use a methodology that helps us to construct a simulation system. This paper presents some classifications of simulation systems and an introduction to the Monte Carlo method, with the objective of creating a framework of application of this method for the construction of simulation systems for decision making support in crisis management. One area of applicability is scenario-based simulations for training for cross-national teams to cooperate in large scale disasters. The final aim of this research will be the recommendation of standards and methodologies to build simulation systems in crisis management, specifically in decision making support. © 2012 ISCRAM.
Address
Tecnalia, Madrid, Spain; New Jersey Institute of Technology, United States
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Simon Fraser University
Place of Publication
Vancouver, BC
Editor
L. Rothkrantz, J. Ristvej, Z.Franco
Language
English
Summary Language
English
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
2411-3387
ISBN
9780864913326
Medium
Track
Analytical Modelling and Simulation
Expedition
Conference
9th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Notes
Approved
no
Call Number
Serial
90
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