Abdelgawad, A. A. (2023). An Updated System Dynamics Model for Analysing the Cascading Effects of Critical Infrastructure Failures. In Jaziar Radianti, Ioannis Dokas, Nicolas Lalone, & Deepak Khazanchi (Eds.), Proceedings of the 20th International ISCRAM Conference (pp. 595–608). Omaha, USA: University of Nebraska at Omaha.
Abstract: Aiming at examining the cascading effects of the failure of Critical Infrastructure (CI), this work-in-progress research introduces an improved System Dynamics model. We represent an improvement over the previous models aimed at studying CIs interdependencies and their cascading effects. Our model builds on earlier models and corrects their flaws. In addition to introducing structural enhancements, the improvements include using unpublished data, a fresh look at a previously collected dataset and employing a new data processing to address and resolve some longstanding issues. The dataset was fed to an optimisation model to produce a new dataset used in our model. The structure of our SD model, its dataset and the data processing techniques we employed to create this dataset are all described in the study. Although the model has passed the fundamental validation criteria, more validation testing and scenario exploration are yet to be conducted.
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Aarland, M., Radianti, J., & Gjøsæter, T. (2023). Using System Dynamics to Simulate Trust in Digital Supply Chains. In Jaziar Radianti, Ioannis Dokas, Nicolas Lalone, & Deepak Khazanchi (Eds.), Proceedings of the 20th International ISCRAM Conference (pp. 516–529). Omaha, USA: University of Nebraska at Omaha.
Abstract: The power industry is outsourcing and digitalising their services to provide better, faster, and more reliable supply of electric power to the society. As a result, critical infrastructure increases in complexity and tight couplings between multiple suppliers and systems in digital supply chains. It also introduces new risks and challenges that are difficult to manage for critical infrastructure owners. To address the vulnerability in digital supply chains, we have developed a system dynamics model that represent important challenges to manage cybersecurity in digital supply chains, based on input from an expert group in the power industry. The system dynamics model illustrates how trust in suppliers as well as the need for control play important roles in outsourcing. Scenarios were developed and simulated.
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Petrenj, B., Piraina, M., Borghetti, F., Marchionni, G., & Urbano, V. (2023). Cross-border Digital Platform for Transport Critical Infrastructure Resilience: Functionalities and Use Case. In Jaziar Radianti, Ioannis Dokas, Nicolas Lalone, & Deepak Khazanchi (Eds.), Proceedings of the 20th International ISCRAM Conference (pp. 96–111). Omaha, USA: University of Nebraska at Omaha.
Abstract: The resilience of increasingly interdependent Critical Infrastructure (CI) systems hugely depends on the stakeholder organizations’ ability to exchange information and coordinate, while CI’s cross-border dimension further increases the complexity and challenges. This paper presents the progress in the Lombardy Region (Italy) and Canton Ticino (Switzerland) on the joint capacity to manage disruptive events involving transportation CI between the two countries. We present a cross-border digital platform (Critical Infrastructure Platform – PIC) and its main functionalities for improved cross-border risk and resilience management of CI. A use case, based on a scenario of an intense snowfall along the transboundary motorway impacting both countries, demonstrates how PIC advances the exchange of information, its visualization and analysis in real-time. The use case also shows the practical value of the digital platform and its potential to support the management of cross-border events (and their cascading events) that require the cooperation of Italian and Swiss actors.
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Schönefeld, M., Schütte, P. M., Schulte, Y., & Fiedrich, F. (2023). Critical infrastructure and crisis affected actor? Investigating the double role of municipal administrations. In Jaziar Radianti, Ioannis Dokas, Nicolas Lalone, & Deepak Khazanchi (Eds.), Proceedings of the 20th International ISCRAM Conference (pp. 88–95). Omaha, USA: University of Nebraska at Omaha.
Abstract: This WiPe article presents first insights from two German research projects (one ongoing, one completed) on the double role of municipal administrations in crisis management. The ongoing project examines the municipal crisis management during COVID-19, the completed one focused on the 2015/2016 refugee situation in Germany. While crisis management has previously rather been associated with “blue-light organizations”, these two circumstances rather called for a predominantly administrative crisis management. While adapting to this new role, administrations had to maintain key public services: They had to perform as crisis managers while maintaining their function as a critical infrastructure despite being affected themselves for several reasons. Since 2015, public administration in Germany has found itself in almost constant crisis management mode, giving opportunity to learn and to adjust self-perception. Based on empirical analyses of interview data we aim to discuss the following questions: How did the two roles influence each other in the situations mentioned? Has anything changed between these situations?
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Schauer, S., Petersen, L., Grace, R., & Roohi, M. (2023). From Resilient Critical Infrastructures to a Resilient Society. In Jaziar Radianti, Ioannis Dokas, Nicolas Lalone, & Deepak Khazanchi (Eds.), Proceedings of the 20th International ISCRAM Conference (pp. 1076–1077). Omaha, USA: University of Nebraska at Omaha.
Abstract: With the current international crises such as the Ukrainian war, the ongoing climate change, or the interruptions in international supply chains and recent incidents like the earthquake in Turkey or the Ohio train derailment, it becomes more obvious that “just” protecting the society’s critical services and infrastructures will not be sufficient enough in the future. Services and infrastructures need to become more resilient to the effects of intentional threats as well as disasters caused by natural hazards to keep essential services operational and protect the people’s wellbeing. Accordingly, the solutions for achieving that and making society more resilient need to look further, beyond the boundaries of one infrastructure and beyond purely technical aspects. In this way, evolving towards a resilient society is a multi-dimensional problem integrating different viewpoints. In the technology-driven world we are living today, the social relations and interactions among individuals have become more important than ever and organizational structures influence the success or failure of technological solutions. Furthermore, many frameworks for societal/social/community resilience include as a metric the availability of essential services/critical infrastructure. Therefore, today’s technical solutions for protecting Critical Infrastructures need to play together with novel organizational, communal, and individual concepts as well as fulfill requirements from the economic, environmental, ethical and societal domains. In this panel, we will look at the impacts Critical Infrastructures are facing due to current crisis situations in different parts of the world and the effects this has on society. We will discuss among the panelists and with the audience on how existing and future concepts, methodologies and tools could help to improve resilience from a technical, organizational, and societal perspective.
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