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The role of cognitive biases in reactions to bushfires
Maƫl Arnaud
author
Carole Adam
author
Julie Dugdale
author
2017
Iscram
Albi, France
English
Human behaviour is influenced by many psychological factors such as emotions, whose role is already widely recognised. Another important factor, and all the more so during disasters where time pressure and stress constrain reasoning, are cognitive biases. In this paper, we present a short overview of the literature on cognitive biases and show how some of these biases are relevant in a particular disaster, the 2009 bushfires in the South-East of Australia. We provide a preliminary formalisation of these cognitive biases in BDI (beliefs, desires, intentions) agents, with the goal of integrating such agents into agent-based models to get more realistic behaviour. We argue that taking such "irrational" behaviours into account in simulation is crucial in order to produce valid results that can be used by emergency managers to better understand the behaviour of the population in future bushfires.
Multi-agent modelling
social simulation
cognitive biases
BDI paradigm
Victoria bushfires
exported from refbase (http://idl.iscram.org/show.php?record=2002), last updated on Mon, 25 Nov 2019 14:11:04 +0100
text
http://idl.iscram.org/files/maelarnaud/2017/2002_MaelArnaud_etal2017.pdf
MaelArnaud_etal2017
Proceedings of the 14th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response And Management
Iscram 2017
Tina Comes
F
B
editor
14th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response And Management
2017
Iscram
Albi, France
conference publication
85
96
2411-3387
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