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Author  |
Elisa Canzani | ||||
| Title | Modeling Dynamics of Disruptive Events for Impact Analysis in Networked Critical Infrastructures | Type | Conference Article | ||
| Year | 2016 | Publication | ISCRAM 2016 Conference Proceedings ? 13th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | Abbreviated Journal | ISCRAM 2016 |
| Volume | Issue | Pages | |||
| Keywords | Critical Infrastructures; Disruptions; Impact Analysis; Resilience; System Dynamics Modeling | ||||
| Abstract | Governments have strongly recognized that the proper functioning of critical infrastructures (CIs) highly determines the societal welfare. If a failed infrastructure is unable to deliver services and products to the others, disruptive effects can cascade into the larger system of CIs. In turn, decision-makers need to understand causal interdependencies and nonlinear feedback behaviors underlying the entire CIs network toward more effective crisis response plans. This paper proposes a novel block building modeling approach based on System Dynamics (SD) to capture complex dynamics of CIs disruptions. We develop a SD model and apply it to hypothetical scenarios for simulation-based impact analysis of single and multiple disruptive events. With a special focus on temporal aspects of system resilience, we also demonstrate how the model can be used for dynamic resilience assessment. The model supports crisis managers in understanding scenarios of disruptions and forecasting their impacts to improve strategic planning in Critical Infrastructure Protection (CIP). | ||||
| Address | |||||
| Corporate Author | Thesis | ||||
| Publisher | Federal University of Rio de Janeiro | Place of Publication | Rio de Janeiro, Brasil | Editor | A. Tapia; P. Antunes; V.A. Bañuls; K. Moore; J. Porto |
| Language | English | Summary Language | English | Original Title | |
| Series Editor | Series Title | Abbreviated Series Title | |||
| Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
| ISSN | 2411-3406 | ISBN | 978-84-608-7984-27 | Medium | |
| Track | Planning, Foresight and Risk Analysis | Expedition | Conference | 13th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | |
| Notes | Approved | no | |||
| Call Number | Serial | 1437 | |||
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| Author |
Elisa Canzani; Ulrike Lechner | ||||
| Title | Insights from Modeling Epidemics of Infectious Diseases ? A Literature Review | Type | Conference Article | ||
| Year | 2015 | Publication | ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | Abbreviated Journal | ISCRAM 2015 |
| Volume | Issue | Pages | |||
| Keywords | crisis modeling; dynamics; Epidemics modeling; infectious diseases | ||||
| Abstract | The relevance of modeling epidemics? spread goes beyond the academic. The mathematical understanding of infectious diseases has become an important tool in policy making. Our research interest is modeling of dynamics in crisis situations. This paper explores the extant body of literature of mathematical models in epidemiology, with particular emphasis on theories and methodologies used beyond them. Our goal is to identify core building blocks of models and research patterns to model the dynamics of crisis situations such as epidemics. The wide range of applications of epidemic models to many other disciplines that show biological analogies, makes this paper helpful for many modelers and mathematicians within the broader field of Crisis Management. | ||||
| Address | |||||
| Corporate Author | Thesis | ||||
| Publisher | University of Agder (UiA) | Place of Publication | Kristiansand, Norway | Editor | L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
| Language | English | Summary Language | English | Original Title | |
| Series Editor | Series Title | Abbreviated Series Title | |||
| Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
| ISSN | 2411-3387 | ISBN | 9788271177881 | Medium | |
| Track | Researching Crisis: Methodologies | Expedition | Conference | ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | |
| Notes | Approved | yes | |||
| Call Number | Serial | 1250 | |||
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