| Records |
Author  |
Anying Chen; Guofeng Su; Manchun Liang |
| Title |
Simulation of Crowd Response During Emergency Considering People's Rational and Irrational Thinking |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Proceedings of the 16th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response And Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Iscram 2019 |
| Volume |
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Issue |
|
Pages |
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| Keywords |
Crowd response, simulation, emergency, herd effect. |
| Abstract |
Human beings have been facing numerous emergencies which could threaten their property or even their lives in all ages. In order to learn how people respond to the emergencies like earthquakes and fire disasters, a two-stage simulation considering people?s rational thinking and irrational thinking was conducted. Results show that people?s irrational thinking, like the herd effect, could exaggerate people?s behavior of conformity, and it changes the spatial features that stronger herd effect leads to higher cohesion level. It is also worth mentioning that crowd response of condition of smaller population is harder to predict because of its instability, and the response of the very first part of people who make decisions could make great changes to the whole crowd?s response. These results could give some enlightenment on the evacuation instruction during emergencies and future research works. |
| Address |
Tsinghua University, People's Republic of China |
| Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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| Publisher |
Iscram |
Place of Publication |
Valencia, Spain |
Editor |
Franco, Z.; González, J.J.; Canós, J.H. |
| Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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| Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
978-84-09-10498-7 |
Medium |
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| Track |
T1- Analytical Modeling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
16th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (ISCRAM 2019) |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
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Serial |
1951 |
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| Author |
Anying Chen; Zhongliang Huang; Manchun Liang; Guofeng Su |
| Title |
Empirical Study of Individual Evacuation Decision-making in Fire Accidents: Evacuate Intention and Herding Effect |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2020 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2020 Conference Proceedings – 17th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Iscram 2020 |
| Volume |
|
Issue |
|
Pages |
200-209 |
| Keywords |
Fire Accidents, Evacuation Experiment, Evacuate Intention, Herding Behaviors. |
| Abstract |
People's decision of evacuating or not could greatly influence the final losses in fire accidents. In order to study people's response under emergent occasions, a fire accident evacuation drill experiment was conducted in an office building without advance notice. 113 Participants' response and their decision-making process were collected by questionnaire survey right after the experiment. In this study, we mainly focused on two aspects of people's response, including participants' evacuate intention and their herding tendency during evacuate decision-making. It is found that the classical Expected Utility Theory (EUT) has certain limitation in explaining individual's evacuation intention, but the relationship between the expected utility and the evacuation intention could be represented with a modified model based on EUT. Furthermore, the herding tendency is found to be different for the two groups of people who intend to evacuate and not to evacuate. People who firstly intend not to evacuate are more easily to form herding behavior and change their minds to evacuate. Based on these findings, models of individual evacuation intention and herding tendency for two groups of people are put forward. Simulation is conducted to investigate the effect of these two changes in people's evacuation decision-making process, and results show that they both increase the final evacuation rate, reflecting the majority's risk aversion characteristics. |
| Address |
Tsinghua University;Tsinghua University; Tsinghua University; Tsinghua University |
| Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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| Publisher |
Virginia Tech |
Place of Publication |
Blacksburg, VA (USA) |
Editor |
Amanda Hughes; Fiona McNeill; Christopher W. Zobel |
| Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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| Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
978-1-949373-27-19 |
ISBN |
2411-3405 |
Medium |
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| Track |
Analytical Modeling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
17th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
| Notes |
chenay15@mails.tsinghua.edu.cn |
Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
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Serial |
2220 |
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