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Record |
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Author  |
Louise K. Comfort; Brian Colella; Mark Voortman; Scott Connelly; Jill L. Drury; Gary L. Klein; Wukich |
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Title |
Real-time decision making in urgent events: Modeling options for action |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2013 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2013 Conference Proceedings – 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2013 |
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Volume |
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Pages |
571-580 |
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Keywords |
Information systems; Managers; Bayesian model; Decision space; Emergency response; Option awareness; Situation awareness; Decision making |
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Abstract |
Decision making in extreme events presents a difficult challenge to emergency managers who are legally responsible for protecting life, property, and maintaining continuity of operations for their respective organizations or communities. Prior research has identified the benefits of gaining situation awareness in rapidly changing disaster contexts, but situation awareness is not always sufficient. We have investigated “option awareness” and the decision space to provide cognitive support for emergency managers to simulate computationally possible outcomes of different options before they make a decision. Employing a user-centered design process, we developed a computational model that rapidly generates ranges of likely outcomes for different options and displays them visually through a prototype decision-space interface that allows rapid comparison of the options. Feedback from emergency managers suggests that decision spaces may enable emergency managers to consider a wider range of options for decisions and may facilitate more targeted, effective decision making under uncertain conditions. |
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Address |
Center for Disaster Management, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, United States; MITRE Corporation, Bedford, MA and McLean, VA, United States; Department of Political Science, Sam Houston State University, Huntsville, TX, United States |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Karlsruher Institut fur Technologie |
Place of Publication |
KIT; Baden-Baden |
Editor |
T. Comes, F. Fiedrich, S. Fortier, J. Geldermann and T. Müller |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9783923704804 |
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Track |
Innovations in Research |
Expedition |
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Conference |
10th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
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Notes |
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Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
411 |
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