| Record |
| Author |
Ana Rosa Trancoso; José Delgado Domingos; Maria João Telhado; João Corte-Real |
| Title |
Early warning system for meteorological risk in Lisbon municipality: Description and quality evaluation |
Type |
Conference Article |
| Year |
2011 |
Publication |
8th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management: From Early-Warning Systems to Preparedness and Training, ISCRAM 2011 |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2011 |
| Volume |
|
Issue |
|
Pages |
|
| Keywords |
Alarm systems; Forecasting; Information systems; Integration; Weather forecasting; Weathering; Automated warnings; Early warning; Early Warning System; False alarm ratio; Lisbon; Meteorological risks; Multiple source; Quality evaluation; Quality control |
| Abstract |
The current work describes and evaluates an early warning system for meteorological risk in Lisbon that has been functioning in SMPC since February 2008. The system aims to integrate multiple sources of information and facilitate cross checking observations, forecasts and warnings, allowing for an efficient and timely evaluation of the alert level to issue. Currently, it comprises hourly weather and tide level forecasts and automated warnings for Lisbon city, given by MM5 and WRF models running at IST. Results show MM5 performing better than WRF except for warm weather. The overall skill of the warning system is 40% with some false alarm ratios, mainly for forecasts with more than 3 days in advance. This is a reasonable characteristic for early warning since a potentially problematic situation can be anticipated and checked avoiding unnecessary economic expenditures if the warnings do not persist. |
| Address |
Instituto Superior Técnico, Portugal; Serviço Municipal de Protecção Civil de Lisboa, Portugal; Universidade de Évora, Portugal |
| Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
|
| Publisher |
Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM |
Place of Publication |
Lisbon |
Editor |
M.A. Santos, L. Sousa, E. Portela |
| Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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| Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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| Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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| ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9789724922478 |
Medium |
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| Track |
Early Warning and Alert Systems |
Expedition |
|
Conference |
8th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
| Notes |
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Approved |
no |
| Call Number |
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Serial |
1015 |
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