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Alexander Garcia-Aristizabal; Maria Polese; Giulio Zuccaro; Miguel Almeida; Christoph Aubrecht | ||||
| Title | Improving emergency preparedness with simulation of cascading events scenarios | Type | Conference Article | ||
| Year | 2015 | Publication | ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | Abbreviated Journal | ISCRAM 2015 |
| Volume | Issue | Pages | |||
| Keywords | Cascading effects; event tree; forest fire; impact scenarios; time-dependent vulnerability | ||||
| Abstract | Natural or man-made disasters can trigger other negative events leading to tremendous increase of fatalities and damages. In case of Low Probability ? High consequences events, decision makers are faced with very difficult choices and the availability of a tool to support emergency decisions would be very much beneficial. Within EU CRISMA project a concept model and tool for evaluating cascading effects into scenario-based analyses was implemented.This paper describes the main concepts of the model and demonstrates its application with reference to two earthquake-triggered CE scenarios, including (the first) the falling of an electric cable, ignition and spreading of forest fire and (the second) the happening of a second earthquake in a sequence. Time dependent seismic vulnerability of buildings and population exposure are also considered for updating impact estimation during an earthquake crisis. | ||||
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| Corporate Author | Thesis | ||||
| Publisher | University of Agder (UiA) | Place of Publication | Kristiansand, Norway | Editor | L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
| Language | English | Summary Language | English | Original Title | |
| Series Editor | Series Title | Abbreviated Series Title | |||
| Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
| ISSN | 2411-3387 | ISBN | 9788271177881 | Medium | |
| Track | Planning, Foresight and Risk Analysis | Expedition | Conference | ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | |
| Notes | Approved | yes | |||
| Call Number | Serial | 1308 | |||
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