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Author | Lida Huang; Tao Chen; Yan Wang; Hongyong Yuan | ||||
Title | Forecasting Daily Pedestrian Flows in the Tiananmen Square Based on Historical Data and Weather Conditions | Type | Conference Article | ||
Year | 2015 | Publication | ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | Abbreviated Journal | ISCRAM 2015 |
Volume | Issue | Pages | |||
Keywords | APSO-SVR; forecasting; historical data; Pedestrian flows; weather conditions | ||||
Abstract | It is important to forecast the pedestrian flows for organizing crowd activities and making risk assessments. In this article, the daily pedestrian flows in the Tiananmen Square are forecasted based on historical data, the distribution of holidays and weather conditions including rain, wind, temperature, relative humidity, and AQI (Air Quality Index). Three different methods have been discussed and the Support Vector Regression based on the Adaptive Particle Swarm Optimization (APSO-SVR) has been proved the most reliable and accurate model to forecast the daily pedestrian flows. The results of this paper can help to conduct security pre-warning system and enhance emergency preparedness and management for crowd activities. | ||||
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Corporate Author | Thesis | ||||
Publisher | University of Agder (UiA) | Place of Publication | Kristiansand, Norway | Editor | L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
Language | English | Summary Language | English | Original Title | |
Series Editor | Series Title | Abbreviated Series Title | |||
Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
ISSN | 2411-3387 | ISBN | 9788271177881 | Medium | |
Track | Planning, Foresight and Risk Analysis | Expedition | Conference | ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | |
Notes | Approved | yes | |||
Call Number | Serial | 1315 | |||
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