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Author  |
Karolina A. Wojciechowska; Berend Vreugdenhil |
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Title |
Integration of uncertainty into emergency procedures of water boards |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2012 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2012 Conference Proceedings – 9th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2012 |
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Keywords |
Cost benefit analysis; Forecasting; Emergency procedures; Extreme rainfall; Extreme weather; Netherlands; Response measures; Simple schemes; Uncertainty; Water boards; Information systems |
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Abstract |
In the Netherlands, Royal Dutch Meteorological Institute warns water boards for extreme rainfall if per-specified thresholds are (expected to be) exceeded. When a water board receives a warning, certain response measures can be taken. In general, the thresholds are based on experience and intuition. Clear procedures, which describe decision-making under uncertainty in available information (e.g., forecasted rainfall), do not exist. In this document, first results of the project “Extreme weather for water boards” are briefly described. The aim of this project is to study integration of the uncertainty into emergency procedures of the water boards. The current emergency procedures of two water boards are analyzed. Recommended adjustments to the procedures allow including the uncertainty by estimation of a probability of overload and cost-benefit analysis of response measures (benefit as avoided damage). A simple scheme that supports estimation of the probability is introduced. © 2012 ISCRAM. |
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Address |
HKV Consultants, Netherlands |
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Publisher |
Simon Fraser University |
Place of Publication |
Vancouver, BC |
Editor |
L. Rothkrantz, J. Ristvej, Z.Franco |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9780864913326 |
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Track |
Event-Driven Techniques and Methods for Crisis Management |
Expedition |
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Conference |
9th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
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Notes |
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Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
241 |
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