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Author
Daniel P. Eriksson
Title
A region-specific prognostic model of post-earthquake international attention
Type
Conference Article
Year
2006
Publication
Proceedings of ISCRAM 2006 – 3rd International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Abbreviated Journal
ISCRAM 2006
Volume
Issue
Pages
418-425
Keywords
Decision support systems
;
Forecasting
;
Information systems
;
Alert
;
Attention
;
Central Asia
;
Decision supports
;
Response
;
Earthquakes
Abstract
This project evaluates the feasibility of a prognostic model for international attention following earthquakes. The degree of international attention is defined as the number of situation reports issued by the United Nations. Ordinal regression is applied to a set of 58 case study events that occurred in Central Asia between 1992 and 2005. The context of the model is promising. Patterns were identified among the misclassified events. The patterns can prove helpful in understanding the irregular behavior of the international community and to improve future models by identifying subjects, such as bilateral relations and willingness to request external aid, for which additional indicators are needed.
Address
Coventry University, Centre for Disaster Management, United Kingdom
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium
Place of Publication
Newark, NJ
Editor
B. Van de Walle, M. Turoff
Language
English
Summary Language
English
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
2411-3387
ISBN
9090206019; 9789090206011
Medium
Track
REAL-TIME ALERTS FOR EARTHQUAKES AND TSUNAMI
Expedition
Conference
3rd International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Notes
Approved
no
Call Number
Serial
478
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