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Cascading Effects of Mass Gatherings on COVID-19 Infections from a Multi-hazard Perspective: A Case Study of New York City
Anmol Haque
Duygu Pamukcu
Ruixiang Xie
Mohsen Zaker Esteghamati
Margaret Cowell
Jennifer L. Irish
Anouck Adrot
Rob Grace
Kathleen Moore
Christopher W. Zobel
The devastating economic and societal impacts of COVID-19 can be substantially compounded by other secondary events that increase individuals' exposure through mass gatherings such as protests or sheltering due to a natural disaster. Based on the Crichton's Risk Triangle model, this paper proposes a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation framework to estimate the impact of mass gatherings on COVID-19 infections by adjusting levels of exposure and vulnerability. To this end, a case study of New York City is considered, at which the impact of mass gathering at public shelters due to a hypothetical hurricane will be studied. The simulation results will be discussed in the context of determining effective policies for reducing the impact of multi-hazard generalizability of our approach to other secondary events that can cause mass gatherings during a pandemic will also be discussed.
openurl:?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fidl.iscram.org%2F&genre=proceeding&title=Cascading%20Effects%20of%20Mass%20Gatherings%20on%20COVID-19%20Infections%20from%20a%20Multi-hazard%20Perspective%3A%20A%20Case%20Study%20of%20New%20York%20City&stitle=Iscram%202021&issn=978-1-949373-61-5&date=2021&spage=218&epage=227&aulast=Anmol%20Haque&au=Duygu%20Pamukcu&au=Ruixiang%20Xie&au=Mohsen%20Zaker%20Esteghamati&au=Margaret%20Cowell&au=Jennifer%20L.%20Irish&pub=Virginia%20Tech&place=Blacksburg%2C%20VA%20%28USA%29&sid=refbase%3AISCRAM
url:http://idl.iscram.org/show.php?record=2327
citekey:AnmolHaque_etal2021
citation:Anmol Haque, Duygu Pamukcu, Ruixiang Xie, Mohsen Zaker Esteghamati, Margaret Cowell, & Jennifer L. Irish. (2021). Cascading Effects of Mass Gatherings on COVID-19 Infections from a Multi-hazard Perspective: A Case Study of New York City. In Anouck Adrot, Rob Grace, Kathleen Moore, & Christopher W. Zobel (Eds.), ISCRAM 2021 Conference Proceedings – 18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (pp. 218-227). Blacksburg, VA (USA): Virginia Tech.
2021
ConferencePaper
text
COVID-19 pandemic, Mass gatherings, Multi-hazard, Vulnerability
file:http://idl.iscram.org/files/anmolhaque/2021/2327_AnmolHaque_etal2021.pdf
Virginia Tech
English
978-1-949373-61-5
ISCRAM 2021 Conference Proceedings – 18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
2021
218
227
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