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Real-time decision making in urgent events: Modeling options for action
Louise K. Comfort
Brian Colella
Mark Voortman
Scott Connelly
Jill L. Drury
Gary L. Klein
Wukich
T. Comes, F.F., S. Fortier, J. Geldermann and T. Müller
Decision making in extreme events presents a difficult challenge to emergency managers who are legally responsible for protecting life, property, and maintaining continuity of operations for their respective organizations or communities. Prior research has identified the benefits of gaining situation awareness in rapidly changing disaster contexts, but situation awareness is not always sufficient. We have investigated "option awareness" and the decision space to provide cognitive support for emergency managers to simulate computationally possible outcomes of different options before they make a decision. Employing a user-centered design process, we developed a computational model that rapidly generates ranges of likely outcomes for different options and displays them visually through a prototype decision-space interface that allows rapid comparison of the options. Feedback from emergency managers suggests that decision spaces may enable emergency managers to consider a wider range of options for decisions and may facilitate more targeted, effective decision making under uncertain conditions.
urn:ISBN:9783923704804
openurl:?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fidl.iscram.org%2F&genre=proceeding&title=Real-time%20decision%20making%20in%20urgent%20events%3A%20Modeling%20options%20for%20action&stitle=ISCRAM%202013&issn=2411-3387&isbn=9783923704804&date=2013&spage=571&epage=580&aulast=Louise%20K.%20Comfort&au=Brian%20Colella&au=Mark%20Voortman&au=Scott%20Connelly&au=Jill%20L.%20Drury&au=Gary%20L.%20Klein&au=Wukich&pub=Karlsruher%20Institut%20fur%20Technologie&place=KIT%3B%20Baden-Baden&sid=refbase%3AISCRAM
url:http://idl.iscram.org/show.php?record=411
citekey:LouiseK.Comfort_etal2013
citation:Louise K. Comfort, Brian Colella, Mark Voortman, Scott Connelly, Jill L. Drury, Gary L. Klein, et al. (2013). Real-time decision making in urgent events: Modeling options for action. In J. Geldermann and T. Müller S. Fortier F. F. T. Comes (Ed.), ISCRAM 2013 Conference Proceedings – 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (pp. 571-580). KIT; Baden-Baden: Karlsruher Institut fur Technologie.
2013
ConferencePaper
text
Information systems
Managers
Bayesian model
Decision space
Emergency response
Option awareness
Situation awareness
Decision making
file:http://idl.iscram.org/files/comfort/2013/411_Comfort_etal2013.pdf
Karlsruher Institut fur Technologie
English
2411-3387
ISCRAM 2013 Conference Proceedings – 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
2013
571
580
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