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Supporting course of actions development in emergency preparedness through cross-impact analysis
Bruno B. Lage
Victor A. Bañuls
Marcos R. S. Borges
T. Comes, F.F., S. Fortier, J. Geldermann and T. Müller
Emergency plans are developed to serve as a basis for response actions required in real situations. However, plan development is not an easy task and usually relies on complex processes. Due to the uncertainty of emergencies, one of the most challenging tasks is the development of possible courses of action. To deal with this uncertainty, we propose the use of scenario techniques for the definition of courses of action. Specifically, we adopt the use of CIA-ISM scenario technique for structuring the chain of events that can occur in a crisis that would support planning teams to develop courses of action. A practical application of the methodology has been successfully conducted by an emergency planning team in Brazil. The practical application of the CIA-ISM process was supported by a software artifact called CAEPlan. Lessons learned about the empirical application of both the methodology and the software artifact are presented.
urn:ISBN:9783923704804
openurl:?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&rfr_id=info%3Asid%2Fidl.iscram.org%2F&genre=proceeding&title=Supporting%20course%20of%20actions%20development%20in%20emergency%20preparedness%20through%20cross-impact%20analysis&stitle=ISCRAM%202013&issn=2411-3387&isbn=9783923704804&date=2013&spage=714&epage=723&aulast=Bruno%20B.%20Lage&au=Victor%20A.%20Ba%F1uls&au=Marcos%20R.%20S.%20Borges&pub=Karlsruher%20Institut%20fur%20Technologie&place=KIT%3B%20Baden-Baden&sid=refbase%3AISCRAM
url:http://idl.iscram.org/show.php?record=671
citekey:BrunoB.Lage_etal2013
citation:Bruno B. Lage, Victor A. Bañuls, & Marcos R. S. Borges. (2013). Supporting course of actions development in emergency preparedness through cross-impact analysis. In J. Geldermann and T. Müller S. Fortier F. F. T. Comes (Ed.), ISCRAM 2013 Conference Proceedings – 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management (pp. 714-723). KIT; Baden-Baden: Karlsruher Institut fur Technologie.
2013
ConferencePaper
text
Information systems
Planning
Cia-Ism
Course of action
Emergency plans
Emergency support systems
Scenarios
Curricula
file:http://idl.iscram.org/files/lage/2013/671_Lage_etal2013.pdf
Karlsruher Institut fur Technologie
English
2411-3387
ISCRAM 2013 Conference Proceedings – 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
2013
714
723
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