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Author |
Wolfgang Raskob; Florian Gering; Valentin Bertsch |
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Title |
Approaches to visualisation of uncertainties to decision makers in an operational decision support system |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2009 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2009 – 6th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management: Boundary Spanning Initiatives and New Perspectives |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2009 |
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Keywords |
Artificial intelligence; Decision support systems; Information systems; Risk management; Visualization; Agricultural management; Decision making process; Operational decision support; Radiological emergency; Rodos; Uncertain informations; Uncertainties; Uncertainty handling; Decision making |
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Abstract |
Decision making in case of any emergency is associated with uncertainty of input data, model data and changing preferences in the decision making process. Uncertainty handling was from the beginning an integral part of the decision support system RODOS for the off-site emergency management following nuclear or radiological emergencies. What is missing so far is the visualisation of the uncertainties in the results of the model calculations. In this paper we present the first attempt to visualise uncertain information in the early and late phase of the decision making process. For the early phase, the area of sheltering was selected as example. For the later phase, the results of the evaluation subsystem of RODOS were selected being used for the analysis of remediation measures such as agricultural management options. Both attempts are still under discussion but the presentation of the early phase uncertainty will be realised in the next version. |
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Address |
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe (FZK), Karlsruhe, Germany; Federal Office for Radiation Protection, Neuherberg, Germany; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany |
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Publisher |
Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM |
Place of Publication |
Gothenburg |
Editor |
J. Landgren, S. Jul |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9789163347153 |
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Track |
Open Track |
Expedition |
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Conference |
6th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
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Notes |
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Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
870 |
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Author |
Wolfgang Raskob; Valentin Bertsch; Jutta Geldermann.; Sandra Baig; Florian Gering |
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Title |
Demands to and experience with the decision support system rodos for off-site emergency management in the decision making process in Germany |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2005 |
Publication |
Proceedings of ISCRAM 2005 – 2nd International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2005 |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
269-278 |
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Keywords |
Accidents; Civil defense; Decision making; Decision support systems; Disasters; Information systems; Risk management; Sensitivity analysis; Decision making process; Emergency management; Emergency situation; Integrated evaluation; Multi-criteria decision analysis; Multi-criteria evaluation; Radiological accidents; Stakeholder involvement; Artificial intelligence |
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Abstract |
Emergency situations, man-made as well as natural, can differ considerably. However, they share the characteristic of sudden onset, involve complex decisions and necessitate a coherent and effective emergency management. In the event of a nuclear or radiological accident in Europe, the real-time on-line decision support system RODOS provides support from the early phase through to the medium and long-term phases. This paper describes the demands to a Decision Support System from a user-centred view as well as experiences gained from conducting moderated decision making workshops based on a hypothetical accident scenario focusing on the evaluation of long-term countermeasures using the simulation capabilities of the RODOS system and its recently integrated evaluation component Web-HIPRE, a tool for multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA). |
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Address |
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe (FZK), IKET, Karlsruhe, Germany; University of Karlsruhe (TH), DFIU, Karlsruhe, Germany; Federal Office for Radiation Protection (BfS), Germany |
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Publisher |
Royal Flemish Academy of Belgium |
Place of Publication |
Brussels |
Editor |
B. Van de Walle, B. Carle |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9076971099 |
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Track |
NUCLEAR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT |
Expedition |
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Conference |
2nd International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
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Notes |
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Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
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Serial |
869 |
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