Records |
Author |
Joaquín López-Silva; Victor A. Bañuls; Murray Turoff |
Title |
Scenario Based Approach for Risks Analysis in Critical Infrastructures |
Type |
Conference Article |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2015 |
Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
Crisis Preparedness; Critical Infrastructures; Cross Impact Analysis (CIA); Resilience-Risk Analysis; Scenarios |
Abstract |
This paper proposes a Cross Impact Analysis for supporting critical infrastructures risk analysis. This methodology contributes to decision-makers and planners with analytical tools for modeling complex situations. These features are generally useful in emergency management and particularly within the critical infrastructures scope, where complex scenarios for risk analysis and emergency plans design have to be analyzed. This paper will show by an example how CIA methodology can be applied for risks and identification analysis with an application to a Data Centre of a Critical Infrastructure. |
Address |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
University of Agder (UiA) |
Place of Publication |
Kristiansand, Norway |
Editor |
L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9788271177881 |
Medium |
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Track |
Analytical Modelling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Notes |
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Approved |
no |
Call Number |
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Serial |
1187 |
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Author |
Miguel Ramirez de la Huerga; Victor A. Bañuls; Murray Turoff |
Title |
A Scenario-based approach for analyzing complex cascading effects in Operational Risk Management |
Type |
Conference Article |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2015 |
Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
Cross Impact Analysis; Emergency Management; Industrial Safety and Security Management; Interpretative Structural Modeling; Operational Risk Management |
Abstract |
This is the first paper to apply Cross Impact Analysis (CIA) and Interpretative Structural Modeling (ISM) methods for analyzing complex cascading effects in Operational Risk Management in an industrial environment. Its main objective is to improve the understanding of the overall picture of an organization?s risks. The paper summarizes the development of a CIA-ISM method of the interaction of 18 critical events of an industrial plant as a first step to improving organizational resilience based on the company?s own estimations as well as the estimates of a panel. The main benefit of using these methods is to know the relationships between different risks and consequences, direct links, indirect and cascading effects. Having the possibility of knowing a full risk map and being able to make a forecast will help to mitigate the unexpected effects and have a better response after an emergency situations is the same as being more resilient. |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
University of Agder (UiA) |
Place of Publication |
Kristiansand, Norway |
Editor |
L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9788271177881 |
Medium |
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Track |
Decision Support Systems |
Expedition |
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Conference |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Notes |
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Approved |
yes |
Call Number |
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Serial |
1280 |
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Author |
Murray Turoff; Victor A. Bañuls; Linda Plotnick; Starr Roxanne Hiltz; Miguel Ramirez de la Huerga |
Title |
Collaborative Evolution of a Dynamic Scenario Model for the Interaction of Critical Infrastructures |
Type |
Conference Article |
Year |
2015 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2015 |
Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
Collaborative Modeling; Critical Infrastructure; Cross Impact Analysis; Delphi Method; Emergency Management; Scenario Planning and Training |
Abstract |
This paper reviews current work on a model of the cascading effects of Critical Infrastructure (CI) failures during disasters. Based upon the contributions of 26 professionals, we have created a reliable model for the interaction among sixteen CIs. An internal CI model can be used as a core part of a number of larger models, each of which are tailored to a specific disaster in a specific location. |
Address |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
University of Agder (UiA) |
Place of Publication |
Kristiansand, Norway |
Editor |
L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9788271177881 |
Medium |
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Track |
Analytical Modelling and Simulation |
Expedition |
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Conference |
ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Notes |
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Approved |
no |
Call Number |
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Serial |
1190 |
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Author |
Murray Turoff; Victor A. Bañuls; Starr Roxanne Hiltz; Linda Plotnick |
Title |
A cross impact scenario model of organizational behavior in emergencies |
Type |
Conference Article |
Year |
2013 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2013 Conference Proceedings – 10th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
ISCRAM 2013 |
Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
703-713 |
Keywords |
Information systems; Cross impact; Delphi method; Emergencies; Organizational behavior; Scenario Modeling; Disasters |
Abstract |
A conceptual model is developed of the events that can comprise a dynamic cross impact model of performance of a collection of organizations seeking to respond effectively to an emergency or disaster. It might also be used to model a single organization made up of organizational units. This paper provides a concise overview of the literature that supports the creation of the cross-impact event set. The major goal is to engage other professionals who might aid in supplying a collaborative set of estimates for the relative impacts among the events in what would be an asynchronous online Delphi Process. |
Address |
NJIT, Spain; Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Spain; Jacksonville State University, United States |
Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Karlsruher Institut fur Technologie |
Place of Publication |
KIT; Baden-Baden |
Editor |
T. Comes, F. Fiedrich, S. Fortier, J. Geldermann and T. Müller |
Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Series Editor |
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Series Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Series Volume |
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Series Issue |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
2411-3387 |
ISBN |
9783923704804 |
Medium |
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Track |
Planning and Foresight |
Expedition |
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Conference |
10th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Notes |
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Approved |
no |
Call Number |
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Serial |
1027 |
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