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Author | Tina Comes; Michael Hiete; Niek Wijngaards; Masja Kempen | ||||
Title | Integrating scenario-based reasoning into multi-criteria decision analysis | Type | Conference Article | ||
Year | 2009 | Publication | ISCRAM 2009 – 6th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management: Boundary Spanning Initiatives and New Perspectives | Abbreviated Journal | ISCRAM 2009 |
Volume | Issue | Pages | |||
Keywords | Decision support systems; Information systems; Chemical incidents; Crisis management; Decision supports; Environmental crisis; Multi-criteria decision analysis; Real-world scenario; Scenario-based; Uncertainties; Environmental management | ||||
Abstract | Multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) is a technique for decision support which aims at providing transparent and coherent support for complex decision situations taking into account subjective preferences of the decision makers. However, MCDA does not foresee an analysis of multiple plausible future developments of a given situation. In contrast, scenario-based reasoning (SBR) is frequently used to assess future developments on the longer term. The ability to discuss multiple plausible future developments provides a rationale for strategic plans and actions. Nevertheless, SBR lacks an in-depth performance evaluation of the considered actions. This paper explores the integration of both techniques that combines their respective strengths as well as their application in environmental crisis management. The proposed methodology is illustrated by an environmental incident example. Future work is to conduct validations on the basis of real-world scenarios by public Dutch and Danish chemical incident crisis management authorities. | ||||
Address | Institute for Industrial Production, Universität Karlsruhe (TH), Germany; Thales Research and Technology, D-CIS Lab, Netherlands | ||||
Corporate Author | Thesis | ||||
Publisher | Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM | Place of Publication | Gothenburg | Editor | J. Landgren, S. Jul |
Language | English | Summary Language | English | Original Title | |
Series Editor | Series Title | Abbreviated Series Title | |||
Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
ISSN | 2411-3387 | ISBN | 9789163347153 | Medium | |
Track | Open Track | Expedition | Conference | 6th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | |
Notes | Approved | no | |||
Call Number | Serial | 407 | |||
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