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Author  |
Kevin D. Henry; Tim G. Frazier | ||||
| Title | Scenario-Based Modeling of Community Evacuation Vulnerability | Type | Conference Article | ||
| Year | 2015 | Publication | ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | Abbreviated Journal | ISCRAM 2015 |
| Volume | Issue | Pages | |||
| Keywords | Disaster Management; evacuation modeling; natural hazards; vulnerability assessment | ||||
| Abstract | Evacuation models can be used to determine evacuation capacity, by estimating the time required for evacuating populations to leave areas exposed to a hazard. Disaster management practices and evacuation modeling are generally carried out to prepare for ?worst-case? conditions. However, hazard severity is highly variable. Performing evacuation modeling for multiple hazard scenarios may provide flexibility and a comprehensive understanding of evacuation capacity. A case study was undertaken to analyze the merit of scenario-based evacuation modeling. Results demonstrate a difference in clearance time between maximum and historic tsunami scenario modeling. During a smaller-scale event, allowing the maximum scenario population to evacuate can add congestion and inhibit evacuation of at-risk populations. Managing evacuation can improve evacuation efficiency by preventing unneeded congestion. Results show that traditional worst-case-scenario modeling may lead to overestimation of time needed to evacuate. Planning under such a scenario may increase risk to smaller-scale hazards. | ||||
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| Corporate Author | Thesis | ||||
| Publisher | University of Agder (UiA) | Place of Publication | Kristiansand, Norway | Editor | L. Palen; M. Buscher; T. Comes; A. Hughes |
| Language | English | Summary Language | English | Original Title | |
| Series Editor | Series Title | Abbreviated Series Title | |||
| Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
| ISSN | 2411-3387 | ISBN | 9788271177881 | Medium | |
| Track | Planning, Foresight and Risk Analysis | Expedition | Conference | ISCRAM 2015 Conference Proceedings ? 12th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | |
| Notes | Approved | yes | |||
| Call Number | Serial | 1303 | |||
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