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Author
Anmol Haque
;
Duygu Pamukcu
;
Ruixiang Xie
;
Mohsen Zaker Esteghamati
;
Margaret Cowell
;
Jennifer L. Irish
Title
Cascading Effects of Mass Gatherings on COVID-19 Infections from a Multi-hazard Perspective: A Case Study of New York City
Type
Conference Article
Year
2021
Publication
ISCRAM 2021 Conference Proceedings – 18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Abbreviated Journal
Iscram 2021
Volume
Issue
Pages
218-227
Keywords
COVID-19 pandemic, Mass gatherings, Multi-hazard, Vulnerability
Abstract
The devastating economic and societal impacts of COVID-19 can be substantially compounded by other secondary events that increase individuals' exposure through mass gatherings such as protests or sheltering due to a natural disaster. Based on the Crichton's Risk Triangle model, this paper proposes a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation framework to estimate the impact of mass gatherings on COVID-19 infections by adjusting levels of exposure and vulnerability. To this end, a case study of New York City is considered, at which the impact of mass gathering at public shelters due to a hypothetical hurricane will be studied. The simulation results will be discussed in the context of determining effective policies for reducing the impact of multi-hazard generalizability of our approach to other secondary events that can cause mass gatherings during a pandemic will also be discussed.
Address
Virginia Tech; Virginia Tech; Virginia Tech; Virginia Tech; Virginia Tech; Virginia Tech
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Virginia Tech
Place of Publication
Blacksburg, VA (USA)
Editor
Anouck Adrot; Rob Grace; Kathleen Moore; Christopher W. Zobel
Language
English
Summary Language
English
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
978-1-949373-61-5
ISBN
Medium
Track
Analytical Modeling and Simulation
Expedition
Conference
18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management
Notes
anmol91@vt.edu
Approved
no
Call Number
ISCRAM @ idladmin @
Serial
2327
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