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Author | José Miguel Castillo | ||||
Title | An agent-based approach to envision the future | Type | Conference Article | ||
Year | 2011 | Publication | 8th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management: From Early-Warning Systems to Preparedness and Training, ISCRAM 2011 | Abbreviated Journal | ISCRAM 2011 |
Volume | Issue | Pages | |||
Keywords | Fuzzy logic; Multi agent systems; Crisis; Foresight; MAS (Multi-Agent Systems); Prevention; Prospective; Scenarios; Information systems | ||||
Abstract | The need to envision the future is not new; it has existed since the beginning of human-kind. What it is new is the applicable technology that is available in a specific period of time. It is vital to research in the field of methods, techniques and tools that allow us to foresee the future. Although this problem is common to any area, an urgent solution is required to those with critical social repercussions. It is not usual to find a critical social system which evolves according to predictable guidelines or tendencies. This paper presents a solution to model the opinions of an experts group with the aim of predicting possible future scenarios. This paper includes the description of a specific process to elaborate the information elicited from the experts by using fuzzy logic and the development of multi-agent systems (MAS) to automate the creation of such scenarios. | ||||
Address | Tecnalia, Madrid, Spain | ||||
Corporate Author | Thesis | ||||
Publisher | Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management, ISCRAM | Place of Publication | Lisbon | Editor | M.A. Santos, L. Sousa, E. Portela |
Language | English | Summary Language | English | Original Title | |
Series Editor | Series Title | Abbreviated Series Title | |||
Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
ISSN | 2411-3387 | ISBN | 9789724922478 | Medium | |
Track | Planning and Foresight | Expedition | Conference | 8th International ISCRAM Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management | |
Notes | Approved | no | |||
Call Number | Serial | 380 | |||
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