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Author  |
Jose J. Gonzalez; Colin Eden; Eirik Abildsnes; Martin Hauge; Monica Trentin; Luca Ragazzoni; Peter Berggren; Carl-Oscar Jonson; Ahmed A. Abdelgawad |
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Title |
Elicitation, analysis and mitigation of systemic pandemic risks |
Type |
Conference Article |
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Year |
2021 |
Publication |
ISCRAM 2021 Conference Proceedings – 18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
Abbreviated Journal |
Iscram 2021 |
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Volume |
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Pages |
581-596 |
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Keywords |
Systemic risk, Cascading effects, Vicious cycles, Risk system analysis, Risk mitigation |
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Abstract |
The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted the health care system and affected all sectors of society, including critical infrastructures. In turn, the impact on society's infrastructures has impacted back on the health care sector. These interactions have created a system of associated risks and outcomes, where the outcomes of risks are risks themselves and where the resulting consequences are complex vicious cycles. Traditional risks assessment methods cannot cope with interdependent risks. This paper describes a novel risk systemicity approach to elicit and mitigate the systemic risks of a major pandemic. The approach employed the internet-based software strategyfinder[TM] in workshops to elicit relevant risk information from sixteen appropriately selected experts from the health care sector and major sectors impacted by and impacting back on the health care sector. The risk information was processed with powerful analytical tools of strategyfinder to allow the experts to prioritise portfolios of strategies attacking the vicious cycles. |
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Address |
Centre for Integrated Emergency Management (CIEM), University of Agder; Strathclyde Business School, Glasgow; University of Agder, Dep. of psychosocial health and Kristiansand municipality, Dep. of research and innovation; Sørlandet Sykehus HF; Center for |
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Corporate Author |
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Thesis |
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Publisher |
Virginia Tech |
Place of Publication |
Blacksburg, VA (USA) |
Editor |
Anouck Adrot; Rob Grace; Kathleen Moore; Christopher W. Zobel |
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Language |
English |
Summary Language |
English |
Original Title |
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Abbreviated Series Title |
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Edition |
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ISSN |
978-1-949373-61-5 |
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Track |
Planning, Foresight and Risk Analysis |
Expedition |
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Conference |
18th International Conference on Information Systems for Crisis Response and Management |
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Notes |
jose.j.gonzalez@uia.no |
Approved |
no |
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Call Number |
ISCRAM @ idladmin @ |
Serial |
2357 |
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